Exergy Lab
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Trust guide·8 min read·Available now

Evidence, confidence, and verification

Read high-stakes answers correctly and understand exactly what “verified” means on the platform.

Confidence follows evidence

Missing temperature, boundary, reference state, time basis, or cost scope must lower confidence or produce a next-measurement recommendation. The agent should refuse requests to hide these limitations or to convert a screening result into a bankable conclusion.

A good answer states both sides of the evidence boundary: what the current data can support and what it cannot prove.

What verified means

  • Verified: a deterministic calculation, parser, source check, or other independent procedure re-established the claim.
  • Unverified: the claim may be plausible, sourced, or model-generated, but no eligible independent check completed.
  • Refuted or conflicting: the checker found evidence inconsistent with the claim and the answer should not present it as established.
  • Unavailable: the verifier could not be reached or lacked the required input; the UI should say so rather than showing an empty verified section.

Model agreement is not verification

A second language model can challenge or refute a claim, but agreement between models cannot promote it to verified.

High-stakes review checklist

  1. 1

    Trace the input

    Confirm the number, unit, boundary, timestamp, and source file or external source.

  2. 2

    Inspect the method

    Distinguish a database lookup, deterministic equation, empirical model, and language-model synthesis.

  3. 3

    Read the limitations

    Check accuracy class, excluded uses, missing measurements, and uncertainty basis.

  4. 4

    Try to break it

    Change the dominant assumption, introduce a conflicting source, or ask what observation would reverse the recommendation.